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today in what could be the last chance to come talk before the u.s. falls off the fiscal cliff next week. >>> investors are bracing for the final eurozone bond sale of the year. italy will sell up to 6 billion later today. >> and the yen has been sent lower and stocks to their highest level in 21 months. >>> this is the final "worldwide exchange" from london of the year. louisa is here for it. >> i can't believe it. it's my last working day of the year, as well. >> is it? >> yes. >> unfortunately we'll still be talking about the same thing we're talking about now. >> although i feel we'll be talking more debt ceiling, as well. >> and speaking of which, president obama is trying a last ditch effort to restart budget talks days before the u.s. goes over the fiscal cliff. speaker john boehner has called the house back into session sunday evening. house majority leader eric cantor is telling his members to be prepared to work through january 2nd. both sides are still far apart on taxes and spending cuts. harry reid says prospect deals by monday are unlikely. minority leader mitch mcconnell s
to avoid the fiscal cliff as the government starts taking steps to buy more time before the u.s. hits the debt ceiling. the yen hits a two-year low against the dollar as the new japanese government battles to weaken currency. exports are rising, pushing the nikkei to its strongest gain in 20 years. .shares of toyota are heading higher after the u.s. settled a class action lawsuit. the $1 billion payment is already priced in. okay. welcome to "worldwide exchange." plenty of news to watch out of washington. all of this week, we thought it would be a quiet one. but i won't be inside the beltway if they want to get something done. the u.s. will hit the $16.4 trillion debt ceiling come monday. in a letter to congressional leaders, geithner says treasury will begin taking steps to save the government about $2 billion. geithner says it's harder to predict a time frame because the ongone fiscal cliff talks make it difficult to forecast next year's budget. among the measures treasury will take including suspending state and local government securities and investments in the federal employee pe
if the u.s. economy goes over the fiscal cliff. >>> and the fed takes the new and surprising step in its ongoing efforts to boost the economy, tying interest rates directly to the u.s. unemployment rate. >>> plus, investors cheering the plan to save danone's plans to offset losses over the next two years. >> announcer: you're watching "worldwide exchange," bringing you business news from around the globe. >>> welcome to the program. coming up on today's show, we'll be plenty busy. we head out to tokyo where carry enjoji has been talking about the upcoming elections. then, we hone in on central london where one pilot project is living roof and major buildings. find out what green living can do go r to improve the area. >>> and today, the 1 billionth international tourist will reportedly arrive at a destination in the world. at 11:20 central time, we'll speak to the world travel council to find out why france is still the world's top destination but more money is spent in the u.s. and central america is now a star performer. first, we want to get the latest news. looking for confidence out
it in perspective. the euro/u.s. dollar didn't move that much whatsoever. from that point of view, i don't think that we just have to look at today or the last two days of development in euro/u.s. dollar. of course, global trade is really important for the german economy. it continues to be very important. even from a private consumption point of view, we did have quite a bit of support as of late. also because of the wages. and looking at the world bank report, also looking at the asian economies in 2013, 2014, them seeing a little better picture is very good for the german economy and not to speak about the turnaround in the u.s. which seems to be stabilizing, looking this also at the housing market. so business sentiment better than expected. it is rising. the current conditions a little weaker than expected. add to that the financial analyst numbers we had as of late, also better than expected. not too bad. >> patricia, we'll see you again next hour. thank you very much for following all the latest there. >> sure. >>> now, shares in ubs have edged up in early trade after the bank announced a
. these are your headlines from around the world. >> with just one week to go before the u.s. economy goes over the fiscal cliff, lawmakers are pointing fingers and playing the blame game. >> mario monti is saying he's available to lead italy. he'll run for office in the upcoming election, but only for a party willing to push his agenda. >>> but he has competition in the form of sylvia berlusconi. he tells cnbc he feels a responsibility to run. >> feel the need to return to the political arena to prevent the country from being delivered into the hands of a leftist party. >> and the crowds are out, the stores are ringing up those sales, but u.s. shoppers may be running low on holiday spirit. and analysts say that they're spending less, as well. hi, everybody. welcome. merry christmas out there. thank you for joining us here on the show. what we're looking at today, we've got slightly quiet markets ahead of the u.s. open. what we're seeing, though, that all the markets are being called lower across the board stateside. the dow is being called a bit lower, nasdaq is being called a bit lower and th
finds. we see falling u.s. demand, rising supply. we see miles driven. there's technology at play. probably the biggest thing that could happen to the auto industry and we can come on to that. that's only a few years out. the message from the futures market that we're get sg oil should be some $10 to $15 lower. if we were to get $10 off the oil price, it broadly equate toes about 1% gdp surprising the western world. it's that time of year where we're pending our thoughts to next year. tangible, economic prices to next year. it will be oil related, a chance, good job with raising the tax threshold in the uk. that means for the first year in five. uk link will be up, not down. and them i also think thattory thing our chancellor did a good job of was she raised taxes by 10 so companies can invest a 215 pounds, not just 200 pounds. >> that's a leverage the other governments have been trying to pull. but your point is interesting. it's not just the uk we were seeing there. and it goes back to the point you were making about oil. u.s. retail gas prices are down 16% since their peak this
for you. >>> the u.s. is set to go over the fiscal cliff in five days. that means taxes will go up for nearly every american. dramatic spending cuts will kick in. president obama and congress will be back from vacation tomorrow. but will anything get done? >>> plus, wild winter weather sweeping through the country. we'll bring you the latest details on which part of the u.s. could be hit next. cnbc's "worldwide exchange" starts now. >>> and welcome to a special edition of reside worldwide. ross andcle reoff today for boxes day in -- kelly are off today for boxing day. for now, you is us. >> we'll start with a brief check on the markets. energy and metals are trading higher now, wtis up about 55 cents. brent crude up 65 cents. also want to check in on the gold price, as well. gold right now down about slightly under the flat line there, 1,-658. well below the 1,700 mark. the cme globex has been closed for christmas. it's going to reopen at 6:00 a.m. eastern time. that goes for treasuries and the foreign exchange market, as well. >> as for action in the overseas markets, the u.k. is
to new york and take a look at housing figures in the u.s. it looks like the real estate sector may be moving on up. here in london, will be picture be so optimistic? mortgage and retail figures out later this morning should give us an indication. >>> plus, in a global exclusive, cnbc's geoff cutmore speaks with alex ushmanov on his return on facebook, and his outlook for the xwloeshl economy. >>> welcome back to the program. it's been a busy year. after 12 months of uneven growth, the prospects for 2013 look equally uncertain. billionaire investor and russia's wealthiest man alisher usmanov told cnbc's geoff cutmore that rebalance of growth is need. >> 2013 will be a year where we need to search for solutions. there is a big discussion going on about the state of the global economy. everyone is involved in that debate, in that discussion about wa to do. governments, central banks, economists, businessmen, scholars. so as far as i'm concerned, what really worried me and what i think is the real cause of the uncertainty is the enormous disparity that exists between the various moneta
three weeks left before the u.s. goes over the fiscal cliff. >>> italian shares are down nearly 3% this morning. for the most part, it is bank stocks leading the way down. we're now down about 2.76% on the ftse mib. bank stocks have been hit particularly hard this morning. earlier, we saw shares down 5.6%. we're seeing the same thing, whether it's bmps hitting session lows down nearly 6% comes amid concerns about leadership and economic reform in italy following mario monte's announcement that he'll resign once the budget has been passed. this move is likely to bring the country forward to elections next year. the italian prime minister has offered no clue as to whether or not he will run and it comes after sylvia berlusconi declared over the weekend he would throw his hat in the ring for the job of premier. carolyn ross is in italy following the details there. can you walk us through the time frame here? when are we expected monte to step down? what happens next? >> good morning to you, kelly. here is the time frame for you. over the next few weeks, we're expecting the budget sta
a compromise is now really starting to hurt the u.s. economy. in this vacuum, the fed has decided to keep rates low. they stepped in saying listen, business, we are not going to get in your way. we're not going to allow interest rates to go higher until we get many hundreds of thousands of people hired! [ applause ] ben bernanke has become the jobs commander in chief. while i've heard nothing but carping on air in the blogosphere as you the fed's latest actions today. i say give me a break. bernanke said my legacy will be that i helped people get a job. and i care more about the unemployed than i do about taxing or not taxing the wealthiest 2%. further, bernanke's implied with this action to keep buying bonds. buy buy buy buy buy buy! to force interest rates to stay low until we get to a 6.5% unemployment. well, he's saying he's very worried about our country going over the fiscal cliff. and he's extremely anxious about how that newfound mandated austerity will mean huge job losses. yeah. lots and lots of people not being able to pay for dinner. our network calculates that while there'll be som
of our u.s. voouers to find cnbc world because they could get three hours of you, carol and carolin for the rest of the week. >> whatever they can do. record it and fast forward to the good bits. >> yeah. >> it will be 2:00, 3:00 in the morning or whatever. >>> on today's show, plenty to come on. >> yes. the south american union faces ejection from the imf for allegedly cooking its books about the innation rate. we'll head out to europe where the swiss banking giants could be facing $1.6 billion over libor rate rigging allegations. >> and we'll be on the floor in beijing where china's leaders just wrapped up a major conference. >>> and japan's prime minister election is calling on the bank of japan to heed the call of the masses. abe is beating the heat on the boj just one day after his party's huge win and two days after the bank's next rate setting meeting. kaori enjoji has the latest for us. how much of a game changer is all this? >> this is a serious game changer. it's a comeback for the dlp and shinzo abe. he has made it clear that the economy and economic recovery is going to
, outperformers this year include german, japanese and hong kong stocks. the u.s. senate will meet at 11:00 a.m. eastern after lawmakers tried most of sunday to avoid a fiscal cliff. proposals moved back and forth including tying social security to the chained cpi index. aides say talks between harry reid and mitch mcconnell focus on extending middle class tax breaks and renewing unemployment benefits. president obama says the u.s. markets and economy will suffer if congress fails to act. and here is what the major players had to say at least publicly this weekend. >> if you look at projections of 2013, people generally felt that the economy would continue to grow, unemployment would continue to tick down, housing would continue to improve, but what's been holding us back is the dysfunction here in washington. >> the sticking point appears to be a willingness, and interest or frankly, the courage to close the deal. >> i will say this. i think that the republican leader has shown absolutely good faith. it's just that we are apart on some pretty big issues. >> i want everyone to know i'm willin
places besides the u.s. stock market. the metals were on fire today, particularly silver. slv, that's the way you play it. goes much higher. >> all right, i'm melissa lee. see you tomorrow, 9:00 a.m. we have the ceo of tomorrow's ipo solar city, then back here at 5:00 >>> i'm jim cramer and welcome to my world. >> you need to get in the game. >> he's nuts! they're nuts! they know nothing! >> i always like to say there's a bull market somewhere. "mad money." you can't afford to miss it. i'm cramer. welcome to "mad money." my job is not just to entertain but i'm trying to teachary and coach you. call me at 1-800-743-cnbc. you can blame the democrats for their inability to offer any cuts for spending. you can blame the republicans for not even wanting to consider tax increases. but don't you dear blame ben bernanke for not being willing to take bold action to get this economy hiring and moving again! even if his statements about economic weakness ultimately caused the averages to stumble from some pretty lofty levels. dow only declining ability 3 points s & p inching up 4.4%. close in
>>> the formalitier government is accused of being sent rick. >> massive write-downs n u.s. and brazil while warning over a week's global recovery. >>> and hsbc agreed to settle money laundering charges, paying a record $1.9 billion fine. >>> and we're getting the bumping out here today, not only because it's christmas, but -- >> because james ferguson is here. >> and we are finally in the same place at the same time. ♪ reunited and it feels so good ♪ >> there we go. >> my apologies to everyone for that. >> how about that voice? i feel a christmas sing along coming on at some point. >> it's the holt day spirit. >> it is. >> also, we are outside the u.s. senate. we're going to see just how much progress has been made or how little progress between the president and congress on the fiscal cliff situation. >>> and we'll find out just how much the european debt crisis has affected tourist's willingness to travel to southern europe. >> and then south korea's presidential election, yes, it's not just japan, and what to expect from the winner. >>> let's just plug you into wher
to u.s. exporters may be showing signs of stabilizing, maybe get to growth. so that might mean moderation in the eurozone might ease in the first quarter. but again, this is all dependent on what happens with that ongoing debt crisis and any step back in resolving that would obviously have a knock-on effect to the economy. >> i'm wondering whether germany as we look at -- they're just above sort of recession territory at the moment. i'm wondering whether if they get better growth out of asia, that will offset the weakness that they're seeing in europe enough to keep them above the pencil line. >> what we've seen so far with today's numbers is exports are declining very sharp. they'll need asia and the u.s. to offset some of that demand weakness, but again, the biggest market for most is the euro zone. if the eurozone is performing badly, that will have a thok-on effect for those countries. >> there's a number of strategists saying after the u.s. has sort of led equities for most of the year, they're now saying europe is the place to be. from i think really the question you have
republicans put forward their plan to cut the u.s. deficit, but the proposal is quickly dismissed by democrats and the white house. >>> and australia central bank cuts interest rates to the lowest level since the financial crisis in a bid to get ahead of sluggish commodities demand. we're on tuesday and off to a slightly, what, soft close yesterday for european stocks. right now we're pretty evenlies passed, advancers just about outpacing decliners on the stoxx 600, but not by much, 5:4 if that. so one hour into the trading session, this is where we stand. the ftse 100 just flat, a flat close yesterday. the dax was essentially fairly flat yesterday. up just ten points. the cac 40 yesterday doing a little bit better, up 0.2%. first pointing out ftse up 9 out of the last 11. we have seen yields continue to decline in spain. just 5.23%, but still capped. spain requesting financial assistance. we'll keep our eye on the uk as we head toward the bank of england meeting this week p. dollar index has hit a one month low. you're redollar up to euro-dollar up near the high we saw yesterday. dollar-yen m
of just 2.5% in the u.s., 1.5% in canada and zero growth in the uk. locally, cutbacks in government spending weighed on the numbers and lower commodity prices also impacted on cash flow and the government is facing more criticism about its effort to keep the budget in surplus while the economy grows. >> the government has had the objective of making sure that we would bring our budget back to surplus when growth has been around trend. what we've been seeking to do through good budget policy has been to provide maximum flexibility to the reserve bank to a just rate so. the government will always put in place appropriate budget settings which will support growth and jobs. >> still, analysts say growth could slow further as the mining investment boom peaks. yesterday, the bank of australia cut interest rates to a record low of 3% and traders are looking further easing next year to offset the falling talks of trade, the high australian daughter and further cutbacks in government spending. >> despite that prognosis for rates and the fact that we're now matching the record lows here, the
.3 earthquake strikes japan's northeast coast. tsunami warnings have been issued. job growth in the u.s. are expected to have slowed significantly in november as hurricane sandy battered the economy. and euro hits a session low, 0.4% as problems in europe's periphery continue to weigh. a powerful 7.3 magnitude earthquake has struck across japan's northeastern coast. the quake rocked buildings as far as tokyo according to reports. u.s. geological survey said there was no threat in the wider pacific ocean. the yen has been rising to a session high before we got details of that. and right now, you can see dollar-yen at 82.39. 82.17 before that happened. some safe haven in-flows into japanese currency. if there was going to be a wave in terms of tsunami that was going to hit, it would have happened around five, six minutes ago and she had yet to see any specific drop or change in the sea level. so we'll hope that that continues on that particular way. atomic power says no irregularities seen at its nuclear plant. operations are normal after the quake. so we'll keep our eyes on that. and we'
. how are things standing by there? >> it's a very quiet session as we saw last week on the u.s. and the european incidentsies. despite the fact that the vix in the united states and the v-stocks and the various volatility measures on this side of the atlantic remain elevated. despite that, we're not seeing a lot of oscillation on the back of, as you said, the fiscal cliff and concerns that we may fall off. does that mean that people are getting complacent? they think even though we might not get a deal in the next 24 hours, we will get a deal fairly imminently. in the meantime, though, this is what we've got in terms of the major european indices. that will open and the germans will come to that in a few minutes' time it has been up year-to-date around about 6% and that makes the ftse 100 a real lagger compared with some of its european peers. a laggard, as well, compared to the cac 40. we have no fiscal cliff deal as of yet and it is up 1%. that means the cac 40, the french equity market, the blue chips there are up over 15% year-to-date. and a lot of markets are being shut to
target. talks about the level of u.s. production, rivalries between iran and saudi arabia, and a new secretary general could get heated. >>> italy likely to see a strong uptai uptake thanks to supply reductions before year end. >>> and let's twist again. the fed set to announce a fresh around of bond purchases to match the outgoing twist program at the end of the year. >>> the international community blasts north korea after it successfully launches a long-range rocket, prompting an emergency u.n. security council meeting. >>> all right. a very good morning to you. we are going to be on to opec later. we've got the latest i.a. data out this morning. they're saying global oil demand projected around 90.5 million barrels a day. more than forecast. they say non-opec production bouncing back. an something bit. they're saying opec crude supply inched up in november led by higher output from saudi arabia. >> i think we'll have to call this today the case of the two oil reports. we have the opec report that they put out ahead of the meeting showing different figures from what the iea is say
:20. and the outlook for u.s. credit market appears less rose city. we'll speak to a moody's analyst that says high duration credit could be badly exposed. the european central bank is announcing either monetary policy decisions later today. economists expect ecb to stay pat on rates. its revised down its forecasts in 2013. hot on the heels from her stint in brusselss, silvia has moved back to frankfurt and the ecb headquarters. how more pessimistic might they be today in their forecasts. >> that's the big question. if they get too clee to the zero for the forecast next year, anything below let's say 0.4, 0.3 would be considered a little bit more bearish and that would of course increase the chances or risks whatever you want to look at it for further rate cut somewhere down the pike early next year, maybe january or february. the consensus for today is as you said no change on rates. remember a month ago, there were many calling for rate cut this month, but that seems to have receded right now. maybe also because the data we see out of the eurozone is rather mixed. everybody quite agrees that foir
the u.s. dollar by about .4%. proxy there for global growth prospects. the dollar/yen is weaker by about .25%. this as markets digest the news out of the boj and gauge whether they'll be successful in boosting inflation ultimately. the euro/dollar, 1.3221. so for trading in asia, just how japan, china and the rest have been affected by fiscal cliff news, diedra morris is join onning us with plenty more. hi. >> hey, kelly. it was a bit of a rude awaking. a lot of these indexes were on their way to gains and then we had the fiscal cliff setback. we had news that john boehner's plan b failed. this all turned red and this is where we ended. the nikkei 225 coming back from that huge rally that we have seen over the last five weeks shedding 1%. the exporters hurt here because the dollar/yen was lower. it has regained some ground in the last few hours or so. the kospi shedding about 1%. blame politicians in the u.s. and blame heavyweight samsung. this accounts for some 20% of market value on the kospi index. down 4%. that hurt the broader markets. this is, of course, because eu regulators are p
that cash signature overseas to come here because they don't want our u.s. dollar strengthened. they don't want to strengthen the middle class. that's the real issue here. >> what about these companies that aren't paying the dividend? are shareholders getting mad or angry at companies sitting on cash, not paying it out? are companies under pressure? >> michael, what do you think? that's going to come around at some point. >> it's up to a corporation to do what they want to do with retained earnings. my problem is leveraging up the balance sheet, being allured by these phoney, fake, factitious interest rates and setting up this whole with corporation, this whole company, this whole private sector for an interest rate shock that nobody is prepared for. >> michael, what are you doing with your money right now? >> well, i'm 50% in cash. i'm going in and out of lockheed martin. >> you don't get paid to be 50% cash, right? >> why don't you pay a special dividend? >> that's my prerogative. i sure as heck am not going to leverage up to send money out the book door without any chance of increasin
fit and she stays active. >> just part of a taxpayer funded ad campaign from the u.s. department of agriculture encouraging seniors to get on food stamps because they will make you look better. we have more news on the food stamp front that will make you angry and that's later in the show. with the tax and fiscal cliff looming 21 days from now, is there a reason for even some slight optimism this evening? joining us now in studio, we welcome distinguished house members carolina maloney of new york and larry kudlow's house member in manhattan. and the republican from arizona. as always, welcome to both of you. dave, let me ask you this. i'm hearing a lot of this that there is a strategic retreat by the republican party. 57b and that they are not either in the house or senate going to block the middle class stax tax cuts which proliferate in terms of the bill. is that true, sir? >> i haven't been invited into the strategic retreat caucus. look. i hear more on the news than i ever actually come across in reality in d.c. so far, i do not see a willingness, particularly on the conserv
and unregulated in the u.s., which partly explains how a few cheaters were able to steal more than $20 million playing poker online. >> if you can see everybody's cards in poker, you could be the worst poker player in the world up against the best poker player in the world, and you're gonna beat them just about every time. [stopwatch ticking] >> gentlemen and ladies, place your bets. let the games begin. [cheers and applause] >> that's what i'm talking about! >> whoo! >> steve wynn is the man with the midas touch who added glamour to the gambling industry. >> if you're gonna start a gambling joint, start a gambling joint. >> he transformed las vegas into an international tourist spot, but the odds haven't changed. >> the only way to win in a casino... >> is to own one. >> own one. >> unless you're very lucky. [stopwatch ticking] >> internet gaming is illegal in the united states and absolutely thriving. >> yes! >> right now, as you watch this story, 70,000 people are gambling on party poker, and that's just one site. >> there will be more online poker games per day at the end of this year than
very much do. we're about 55% in the u.s., 25% in developed non-u.s., and 25% in emerging. those emerging and developed non-u.s. numbers we pushed up back in october. >> how much risk do you think you're taking by going overseas like that? we hear people say how undervalued they feel the u.s. market is and what a mess many of those emerging markets are right now. >> it's interesting. quite frankly, a lot of the emerging markets have underperformed quite significantly in the past year. >> isn't that appropriate, though, given the fact the growth rates have come way down? >> absolutely growth rates have come down. if you look at the underlying trend in the growth rates and the pmis coming out of those countries, they probably bottomed back in the summer, probably in august and september. they're beginning to creep back up now. >> you think we'll see back to the highs in terms of the growth rates and places like brazil? >> i think we're looking at 5% to 6%. that's probably better than 2% out of the u.s. >> absolutely. >> eric, what's your best idea right now? >> well, i think any of
leader harry reid says the u.s. is probably going over the fiscal cliff. he's planning a news conference. we don't have the exact time. when it goes, we'll go there. investors getting quite nervous. obviously the dow dropping below 13,000. the first time since early december. fear index is spiking the vick. what going over the cliff will mean for you and your money. we will talk about it this hour. >>> airline stocks flying high sitting at 1 1/2 year highs. will it be smooth skies for the industry next year in 2013. phil lebeau has the report. >>> how about housing? what a story housing has been this year. a milestone. home prices on track for their first year-over-year gain since 2006. is the worst finally over? some say yes, others say no. what does michelle caruso-cabrera say. >> tyler, let's drill down to the numbers you were talking about. only four hours to go until america goes over the fiscal cliff. the dow jones industrial average down 113 points. had been down 148 points. look at that as we come on the air back above 13,000 level, not by much. the nasdaq, the biggest decline. 3
doing better. it is hard to be terribly bearish on the u.s. >> y are going to stay with our politico expert. this is a rally that has surprised experts. it hasn't been that easy to be optimistic. >> it is. i think you have to be cautious here. the probability that this could fall apart is very, very real. >> so, you have to be careful up at these levels as a trader. i have low exposure up here. i have protection. that is how you have to play this market. stay with us please. >> yesterday it looked like washington was inching towards a deal. but today, plan b could be signaling differences. we have karen b and sara fagan herself a former political director. i know what it means. no tax rates above $1 million. no tax hikes but why did bay nor decide to do that. what signal is he sending? >> i think what he is telling the president is look, i appreciate you coming around on this, i appreciate you giving, it is not enough. and i'm going to go to the floor and show you, that $400,000 is not a deal republicans are going to accept. the other thing that occurs that, is it is important for hi
different view. this fiscal cliff is a grander issue than just the united states. the drag in the u.s. is a big import to the rest of the world. stock markets are supposed to be leading economic indicators. if you look at the markets around the world from the last several weeks to months, the markets seem to be indicating just the opposite. they seem to be indicating that a deal will get done. what kind of deal whether it's one stage or two stage, nobody knows. but the fact of the matter is the equity markets tend to look three to six months out. they're giving good signs around the world. in europe, asia, emerging markets and here in the u.s. what i'd be doing is sitting on a well structured portfolio regardless of what the economic outcome is. well diversified across markets, across countries. some emerging large caps. most importantly dividend growers. i'll have a bit of exception with your last guest. i think this is a much more global story. i think a lot of backdrop in europe and china has some improving trends in it that are behind this. >> if the market is such a great predict
surprise to everybody. >> this is a very strong number. i think only u.s. government now can stop this kind of job growth. a fiscal cliff go over -- >> snatching victory from the jaws. >> a superstorm. nothing can stop the generation of jobs in this economy. >> there's a great article today in one of the papers about how apartment building, we have a shortage of apartments and shortage of housing and shortage of autos and shortage of office buildings developing, shortage of shopping centers, shortage of shopping malls. this is what begins a movement. you have to hire eventually. now you could say people are not looking for work, come on. look, jobs are here. they can -- it can be just easily reversed if you have no idea what is the future because of washington. >> given the data points that we've had in terms of claims numbers that did reflect an impact from sandy, they said 85,000 jobs or 86,000 jobs were sliced because of impact of sandy. average hours worked unchanged. doesn't that -- i don't know -- doesn't that bring into question a little bit the participation in the survey. how can i
's a shortened trading session for christmas eve. u.s. equity markets will close at 1:00 p.m. eastern time. bond currency and commodity trading they're going to end early. in japan, indonesia, the philippines, they were all closed in europe. only the uk, french, dutch and spanish stock markets are open and they're going to be closing early. there are now only five trading sessions left in 2012. get your act together. stocks and bonds, solid gains so far this year. the dow has advanced 8% in total. the s&p 500 up almost 14%. the nasdaq has jumped 16%. it's been a good year. the end of the year also means we are just days away from the fiscal cliff, however, and that's the bad news. and looming tax hikes, spending cuts, all of that. both sides warning a very big deal becoming a bit more unlikely. >> and my one bit of advice to speaker boehner is this. you cannot pass a bill with just republicans. on a broad thing like this, you need both. and he has put himself with plan b and sort of an impossible position. he has to get these hard right goes to go along with him. and he and the president were go
to are prevent ratings agencies to downgrade u.s. debt. i'm told by this person on the call that the administration's response to that, they think a small deal would in fact be enough, but they wouldn't speak for the ratings agency. still a big unknown hanging out there, guys. >> and we know about some of the tough conversations we'll have 30 days from now, 45 days from now, eamon. it does sound, though, judging from some of the latest rumors that they're almost comically close to a deal, especially when you talk about the income level at which tax rates would rise. is it 4, 450, settle on 5. is that the main thing you're interested in over the next couple hours? >> yeah, once they've gotten rid of the question about the changed cpi and social security over the weekend, which the republicans asked for, democrats denied, republicans backed down on that, then it becomes a matter of hammering out the details and making sure that you have the votes before you go to the floor. it does seem like they're very close to this deal. but it is the last day. there's not a whole lot of wi
the markets pull back more to crystallize what this could mean for the u.s. economy to members of congress. we didn't see that. it is a numbers game though in terms of what will happen. we know need 60 votes to clear a fill buster in the senate. seven republicans need to go along a lot of jockeying that needs to be done, even if we have a deal put forth. >> interesting what the market is pricing in. we thought the market wanted a grand deal. clearly, dennis you willing to put up with a band-aid. >> i have been surprised how static it has been, the stock and the bond markets, carl. i think the market, i think, has internalized that idea we are just going to shuffle along for a period, the beginning of january. then for another six to nine months. the bigger question really becomes beyond the equity market in particular, becomes the real functioning economy of this country. we are going to be stuck again. we went through sandy, that was a natural disaster, to think that all this really is man made, still boggles the mind. >> sickening. especially with claims back to 350, decent number this morni
. the only place you have it is overseas. europe looks stable compared to the u.s. right now what does that say about our dysfunctional system? it says our dysfunction is our competitor's advantage in this market and that is sad. >> amen to larry. that was well said. i don't think i can add anything. >> for the average investor watching right now, any advice? >> no. i think that what's going to happen is there will be refl reflexive knee-jerk reaction higher if one of those two things i said happen. the market was up quite a bit since mid-november. the small-cap his been up 9.5% until the sell-off and they'd given a lot of that back, but there was a lot of good feelings priced in, and to me it's not that awful for us to take some of that off. i think the next month will be choppy and whipsaw, but 2013, there are a lot of good things going, housing market, china, japan. i would buy some things. >> guys, got to cut you off. larry, you'll get more time next time, promise. see you later, jim. >>> we're all over the fiscal fiasco. tune in to cnbc this sunday night. yep, we're working the we
ultimately about increasing the number of flights into heathrow. >> it's really about the access to the uk/u.s. marketplace. it's by far by 200% the largest market between europe and the u.s. and delta has had an 8% market share, fifth place. with this transaction we get to second place with a quarter of the market. >> that's a huge increase for delta. what about for virgin atlantic and richard branson, the ceo. well, the brand remains. remember, there's been some speculation that delta would take over virgin atlantic. not going to happen. ceo richard branson will be staying in charge. he was part of the announcement today here in new york city by satellite coming from down in the dominican. as we look at shares of delta, take a look at this. stock up, a nice gain today, almost 7%. tyler, in the end, what we're going to see is more of these types of deals in the industry, as you see the domestic u.s. carriers tried to increase their exposure to some of these lucrative markets. >> you answered my question. virgin gets to remain a virgin after it jumps into bed with delta. >> i'm in the touching
of the increase in cap x from u.s. providers. >> i don't know. i would rather buy cisco. these companies, i remember when a avatel was good. the spending on american tower, sba communications, not on software. lte, you've got to go to g 5 -- >> we're already moving at g 5. >> g 3 is not playing this weekend. >> i think g-3 is -- >> dad said he would play. but apparently he disagreed. >> how about those knicks? >> oh, man. >> the finger, now the ankle for melo, right? >> he's tough. he'll be all right. >> i went to the rolling stones last night and did not go to the eagles. let my make that clear. >> coming up next, diana olick's exclusive interview with brian moynihan. take a look at this morning's early movers on wall street. adobe topping the list of 6.5%. try running four.ning a restaurant is hard, fortunately we've got ink. it gives us 5x the rewards on our internet, phone charges and cable, plus at office supply stores. rewards we put right back into our business. this is the only thing we've ever wanted to do and ink helps us do it. make your mark with ink from chase. wooohooo....haha
the strength of the u.s. market. fiat is down nearly 6% this morning on talks of raising capital there. any further news we get on that front, we will bring to you. quick check on the bond wall as we do that now. as you can see there, the uk gilt is telling offer a little bit. yield riding to 1.78%. whether it's the bund or even yields in spain are falling as prices rise a little bit. so there is light at the end of the tunnel according to our next guest. he says the global economy is close to reaching its weakest point before recovery sets in. he's robert cohen, chief equity strategist. woke. >> good morning. >> we just heard rob doddson talking through some of these results. unfortunately, we saw some signs of weaker demand, especially global demand in these reports. but perhaps what is consistent with what you're saying, why is it your view that that is going to happen? >> sometimes you need to pull away. you move away from the fundamentals a little bit on the month to month improvements. if you look at 2013 as a whole, the big headwinds you've had in a number of years, fiscal austerity
to talk about between the cliff and other news. >> three days before the u.s. goes over the fiscal cliff, congressional leaders will meet with the president this afternoon. i remember standing on the white house north lawn last month, after leaders met with the president back then. things looked pretty promising. here's what they said after that meeting. >> i believe that the framework that i've outlined in our meeting today is consistent with the president's call for a fair and balanced approach. >> i feel confident that a solution may be in sight. >> it was a constructive meeting. we all understand where we are. >> we feel very comfortable with each other and this isn't something we're going to wait until the last day of december to get it done. >> isn't that special? now we're in the last days of december. and with just three days to go, the rhetoric has changed in the beltway. these are the latest comments. >> republicans aren't about to write a blank check for anything senate democrats put forward, just because we find ourselves at the edge of the cliff. that wouldn't be fair to the
to decline .1%. u.s. sales are seen falling by .8% while europe is expected to tick slightly higher. this was a big deal last month when they came out for their comps. it disappointed for the first time in years and years. people will be watching this number very closely to see if the consumer is still feeling good, to see if mcdonald's's managed to get that mix right. there were concerns that they put too many things on the dollar menu. they said last month they would be changing that. whole see what happened. shares of mcdonald's year-to-date, they have come down quite a bit. >> you only read two. why do i have to read this? >> i read three. >> weight watchers, possible cases of insider trading. reuters say i resemble this. reuters say authorities are investigating hedge fund for insider trading in weight watchers. s.a.t. had taken a sizable position in the stock. cohen fund briefly held 2.1 million shares under scrutiny by authorities. at which time the stock price roughly doubled. in other huj fund news, john paulson said friday that his funds experienced mixed returns in novemb
november same-store sales, global comps up 2.4. u.s. same-store sales up 2.5, offered by breakfast offerings, including that cheddar/bacon/onion sandwich, as melissa mentioned. jim? people are saying the u.s. maybe is making a turn here. >> i find mcdonald's is levered to new products, levered to menu technology. they do invent things. my hat's off to janet. they had this number last week. reminds people, again, they've been right down, and up. mcdonald's is one of those things where joe asked me from squawk when we were talking, i said, i think this is a for real term. if they continue to innovate. i may this may not be your cup of tea, burger, but innovation s higher. >> they tried to sell it to consumers as opposed to their extra value menu, which is a little bit higher price point. that combined with these product innovations, they're very cognizant of margins when they're trying to push iced mixed drinks. the sandwich -- which i've not tried. >> you said cheddar/baconburger. >> it looks like they're going to remain modest at best. margins are going to be a bigger piece. i thin
two acquisitions. plains exploration and mcmoran exploration. >>> concerns over the u.s. economy as adp misses estimates. the blame goes to superstorm sandy. goldman says the party is officially over for gold. >> starbucks at an investors conference will add 1,500 stores in the u.s. over the next five years. wait until you hear what they said about china. >> a big day in media. pandora ceo joins us live later this morning as the stock fell nearly 20% on weak guidance and netflix signs a big exclusive with disney. how much are they having to pay up for that? >>> let's deal with this big deal. as i've been telling you we'll see a lot of big deals -- i was wrong. here we are. freeport mcmoran buying not one but two companies. the combined price if you add it all together gets close to $20 billion. that does include debt. let's go through some of the details. it's somewhat complex. let's start with bigger of the two deals. freeport's purchase of plains. approximately $6.9 billion in total now. it's a cash and stock deal. .6531 shares and 39 bucks a share in cash. that adds up to $50
. is anybody looking at how tax hikes fail the test of economic growth? >>> back here in the u.s., could it be michigan which used to call itself the worker's paradise union state is now moving towards new anti-union right-to-work legislation and it looks like it's going to pass? but first up, budget talks resume between speaker john boehner and president obama today. with just 25 days to go, let's keep tabs on where we stand. reports of a conservative backlash against speaker boehner simply not true. he has the solid support of his leadership and the rank and file. but there is concern among some in the gop that they are at risk of becoming the party for rich people while president obama and democrats stake their claim on the middle class. and my tax rate flexibility with higher -- here's what the president said earlier today. >> i'm not going to sign any package that somehow prevent prevents the top rate from going up for folks at the top 2%. but i do remain optimistic that we can get something done that is good for families like this one and that is good for the american economy. >> w
? >> absolutely it does, bill. and it has the last two months. we've seen a marked retreat from u.s.-based investments after u.s. centric holdings, the s&p 500 showing strong leadership in the first ten months of the year. what we've reason seen is now foreign markets picking up the slack. so i would say when we look into 2013, the opportunities most likely exist outside the united states, not in the u.s. >> outside of the united states is a large geographic area. can you narrow it down for us? like asia, europe, emerging frontier, what is it? >> of course, mandy. and that's part of the asset selection you have to do. for us one of the best areas we've seen has been in emerging market debt. it started out many years ago with the bricks and recently we've moved in the last five or six years to the n-11. by looking at those markets where we can have sovereign debt and corporate debt and relying on a good fund like the fidelity emerger. >> peter, i'm interested in what is going to be the key driver of the markets overall. i'm kind of sick of politics being the driver. right? because it
with manufacturing that have left the u.s. not necessarily people but the education stops producing them. >> that's sad. how do we get that back? sbl well, it is a concerted effort to get them back. with this project that i've talked about where we will do a mac in the united states next year? i think this is a really good another step for us. the consumer electronics world was really never here. so it is not a matter of bringing it back, it is a matter of starting it here. >> good morning. thanks for joining us here. >> reporter: while steve jobs liked to avoid the spotlight, he also thrived on it. it was as if he was selling products that were pieces of his own soul. he was inventor, pitchman and new wave pid piper all in one. big boss coming through. big boss, people. look alive. >> reporter: tim cook is just a different guy. while he believes in the almighty product just as much. >> how are you not steve jobs? >> in many ways. one of the things he did for me that removed a gigantic burden that would have normally existed is he told me on a couple of occasions before he passed away to never qu
bit. economic news and new data shows u.s. manufacturing falling to its lowest level in three years. and there is a little nervousness about the president taking to twitter at 2:00 p.m. eastern time to talk about the fiscal cliff negotiations that are going on. but it is the first trading day of the month and some on wall street are getting bullish for year end. it is going to be a december to remember, i predict it. >> i think this is one of the reasons we're holding up so well, because december is the best month of the year and we roll into january which is also a very good month. let me show you some sectors that do especially well in the month of december. there's major sectors here. this is the best performing sectors in the month of december, averaged over the last ten years. you can see it is a diverse group -- health care, telecom, utilities. a lots of people play dividend at the end of the year. energy and materials a little bit deceptive. for example, energy has only been up a few of the last decembers. it's had a couple of real terrific decembers. i want to note there's o
to learn that when it comes to productivity, the u.s. is not number one. in fact, we americans rank lower than workers in four european countries, including france, in our productivity per hour of work. now, that's the key-- per hour of work-- even though the europeans work less and take more vacation. >> i am packing up and getting on the road now. >> do you think that with all these gadgets and the technology that you're more or less productive? >> if you want to measure productivity by, you know, for me, for example, keeping the emails flowing, you know, multiple conversations going, then, yes, the technology does facilitate that. >> joe gave us a demonstration of his multitasking skills and how hard it can be to stop. >> this is the blackberry with the headset, which is both my phone and my email. >> okay. you've seen him do this often? >> oh, yeah. >> yeah, this is typical. but he's not doing something special and unusual for us. >> not at all. and i'm often on the other end of the telephone, and i actually do get frustrated because i can hear the typing. >> 'cause you know what he's
and putting it to work. the u.s. economy is simply much stronger than we thought just a few quarters ago. second, these deals show that there are ceos who are willing to give up or share their empires in order to make money for their shareholders. oh, cramer, these people are so rich. i know they're not sacrificing financially. that's not the point. the target ceos will all do well but these guys are empire builders. finally, even as the sale of the stock indicates in a symbolic way, these deals show the companies are listed -- that are listed themselves are often worth far more than they're currently trading for. that's not an aberration. it happening marketwide. think about it. we have a financial brokerage company, right, stocks and oil service company, a tech concern and an insurer's business bringing out value virtually overnight. here's the bottom line. we can be riveted and saddened by what's going on in washington or angry, the refusal of all politicians to rise above their milieu or we can be constructive and search for the opportunities that are right there in front of us, in m
exchange. the u.s. marine corps providing toys for less fortunate children for the holiday season. another good cause there. stocks opening up for the first day after the christmas holiday. most major stock markets around the world were closed for christmas, and for the day after christm christmas. china, five-month high on the notion that the urbanization plan will gain spurs in the housing stocks there. japan, abe confirmed as prime minister there. the seventh prime minister in the past six years. we did see the yen hit a 20-month low against the u.s. dollar. notable lows against the euro as well. the topics in the nikkai the lowest in nine months. >> going back to his old job, that he had back in 2007. strange in and of itself. i wonder how long it will take for people to start talking about netflix after the outage going into christmas eve on social media. they were calling it no flix. and to blame amazon web services, which is one of their huge growth engines. a unit of the company they say is probably a tenth of its eventual size. >> one of the highest growth parts of amazon right no
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